From within the dark confines of the skull, the brain builds its own version of reality. By weaving together expectations and information gleaned from the senses, the brain creates a story about the ...

Having a strong opinion about an issue can make it hard to take in new information about it, or to consider other options when they’re presented. Thankfully, there’s an old rule that can help us avoid ...

First articulated in the 18th century by a hobbyist-mathematician seeking to reason backward from effects to cause, Bayes’ theorem spent the better part of two centuries struggling for recognition and ...

2pm Introduction: Professor Norman Fenton and Amber Marks: technical and legal issues surrounding the use of Bayes. 2.15pm Keynote speech: Andrew Rennison, Forensic Science Regulator: ‘The role of the ...